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JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon warns US economy faces an outcome worse than a recession

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JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has said he would not rule out an outcome for the US economy which is widely considered to be worse than a recession.

The chief executive of the biggest bank in the US said this week ‘the worst income is stagflation,’ which he would not ‘take off the table.’

Economists consider stagflation, last seen in the US in the 1970s, to be worse than a recession. It would send stocks down, hitting 401(K)s and other retirement savings.

Stagflation is the combination of economic stag-nation and in-flation. Prices continue to soar at the same time as unemployment rises and economic growth slows – a triple whammy of problems.

In a recession, unemployment increases and the economy shrinks – but the silver lining is that there is little or no inflation.

Dimon made the comments at a time when economists are turning their attention toward indicators of potential slowing growth.

While the annual rate of inflation is increasingly moving toward the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, reports on employment and manufacturing have revealed some signs of softening, CNBC reported.

Since taking over in 2006, Dimon, 68, has turned JPMorgan Chase – which has retail as well as investment arms – into the world’s biggest and most powerful bank with $4 trillion in assets.

Dimon said on Tuesday at a fall conference from the Council of Institutional Investors in New York City: ‘I would say the worst outcome is stagflation – recession, higher inflation.

‘And by the way, I wouldn’t take it off the table.’

On Wednesday, latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed consumer prices were up 2.5 percent from a year earlier in August.

This is down from a 2.9 percent annual rate in July – and is the lowest rate of yearly price growth since February 2021.

This downward trend toward the Fed’s 2 percent inflation target paves the way for the central bank to cut interest rates at its next meeting on September 18.

This will bring benchmark borrowing costs down from a 23-year high and provide some relief for households.

But Dimon worries that there are still a raft of inflationary forces on the horizon, according to CNBC.

He pointed out that higher deficits and increased Government spending will add pressure to an economy still reeling from the impact of sustained higher interest rates.

‘They’re all inflationary, basically in the short run, the next couple of years,’ Dimon said.

‘So, it’s hard to look at [it] and say, “Well, no, we’re out of the woods.” I don’t think so.’

The Treasury Department announced Thursday that the US Government has spent more than $1 trillion this year on interest payments for the $35.3 trillion national debt.

This is the first time interest payments have crossed over this benchmark figure.

Jamie Dimon said this week ‘the worst income is stagflation,’ which he would not ‘take off the table’ for the US economy

 

The downward trend toward the Fed’s 2 percent inflation target paves the way for the central bank to cut interest rates at its next meeting on September 18 (Pictured: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell)

 

Dimon has previously warned of an economic slowdown, saying that he would also not rule out a ‘hard landing’ for the US economy.

A ‘hard landing’ is when there is a marked economic slowdown following a period of rapid growth.

Other economists have predicted that the US is on track to stick a ‘soft landing’ – which has only happened once before.

This rare slowdown is when the rate of inflation returns to the Fed’s 2 percent target without triggering a recession.

Dimon, however, said in August that he thinks the odds of this happening are around 35 percent to 40 percent, CNBC reported, implying a recession is the more likely outcome.

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Kwankwaso: NNPP considering three options – Ladipo Johnson

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Ladipo Johnson, the spokesperson for the New Nigeria Peoples Party, NNPP, has said the party is considering three possibilities ahead of 2027 presidential election.

Johnson said the NNPP was considering joining forces with the APC, the coalition of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar or standing on its own in 2027.

This comes amid defections from the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, to the APC.

Atiku recently announced the formation of a coalition alongside his former counterpart of Labour Party, Peter Obi; ex-Kaduna State governor, Nasir El-Rufai and some other politicians.

The former PDP presidential candidate, had his ex-running mate, Ifeanyi Okowa defecting to the APC.

Also, Governor Sheriff Oborevwori of Delta State also dumped the opposition party to the APC.

Amid these defections, the House of Representatives member from Ideato Federal constituency of Imo State, Ikenga Ugochinyere, had claimed that two more state governors and 40 PDP lawmakers will soon defect.

Ugochinyere urged the PDP’s National Working Committee, NWC, to urgently take steps towards addressing the imminent danger.

He disclosed this while addressing PDP members in Akokwa area of Imo State on Friday

However, Johnson, in a statement said: “Well, so far, what I’ll say is this: in the NNPP, we tend to, at least from our own history as the Kwankwasiyya movement, wait till midterm.

“May 29th will be the midterm for this administration. It will be two years down, and two years to go. That is when we believe that proper politicking will commence.

“So, yes, we are talking, and we’ve been talking. But you’ll recall that at that time, I told you I didn’t want to mention specifically the groups or persons or movements that are in conversation with us. That is still the position now.

“You’ll recall that there have been many publications in newspapers and online, insinuating that Senator Kwankwaso is moving to the APC, that it is imminent and all that. That is just the nature of the game. Some people are pressing or pushing that narrative for their selfish reasons.

“But the bottom line is that very soon, they will begin to hear from us. We will tell our supporters what we are doing.

“There are basically three cards on the table: either we remain in the NNPP and continue with those who joined us all the way or we form some sort of coalition with Atiku, others; or we form an alliance with the ruling party. I

“I am not saying any of these is the case now. But these are the three basic options that could happen.”

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I never met Uzodinma to negotiate APC detection – Otti

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Alex Otti
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Abia State government says that Governor Alex Otti did not hold any meeting with Imo State Governor, Hope Uzodinma for Otti to join the All Progressive Congress, APC, ahead of the 2027 polls.

A statement on Saturday signed by Ferdinand Ekeoma, Special Adviser to Governor Otti on Media and Publicity, described the defection rumour as false, baseless and unfounded and should be disregarded.

According to Abia State government, Governor Alex Otti and a few of his colleagues on Thursday, joined Governor Uzodinma to attend the birthday celebration of his twin daughters after the National Economic Council meeting, saying that the event had nothing to do with politics.

Ekeoma said that though Otti’s popularity and credentials as the Governor of Abia State may attract admiration and permutations from interested parties, “Governor Otti’s political decisions, especially those that would have huge impact and far-reaching consequences on Abians, would at all times be taken in conjunction with majority of Abians and his allies”.

He noted that decisions that would be taken by the Governor must be justified and be seen to be in the overriding interest of Abia people, even as he advised Abia people not to allow discussions about the gathering momentum of 2027 politics to distract good governance in the State.

“Finally, we wish to emphatically state that Governor Otti remains a member of the Labour Party and is presently not planning or discussing with anyone to defect to the APC or any other party for that matter as falsely alleged”, the statement concluded.

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BREAKING NEWS: All nine (9) PDP Members of the National Assembly from Rivers State have endorsed the reelection of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in 2027.

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BREAKING NEWS:

All nine (9) PDP Members of the National Assembly from Rivers State have endorsed the reelection of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in 2027.

They didn’t defect to APC. They are still members of the opposition PDP.

But in rare political machination, they have unanimously declared their supports for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu ‘s reelection in 2027 since Atiku Abubakar is insisting on contesting against the south in 2027.

 

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