Connect with us

Business

What is behind Vietnam’s economic success story?

Published

on

Spread the love

The World Bank has forecast Vietnam will show the strongest growth out of emerging economies in Southeast Asia.

 

In a new forecast from the World Bank, Vietnam’s economic growth is expected to reach 6.1% by the end of 2024 and 6.5% in 2025.

Both forecasts are higher than what was estimated in April, with the increase in growth down to a rebound in manufacturing exports, tourism and investment, the report said.

This shows that Vietnam could have a bigger growth in 2025 compared to other emerging economies like Thailand, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines.

“Vietnam certainly faces some serious challenges, not least the ailing domestic sector and over-reliance on the [foreign direct investment] sector, but compared to other Southeast Asian countries, its economic prospects remain bright,” Nguyen Khac Giang, researcher and visiting fellow at the ISEAS Institute, told DW.

What is driving growth?

Vietnam, like other Southeast Asian countries, relies heavily on foreign direct investment.

Between 2021 and 2023, FDI inflows into Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and the Philippines averaged about $236 billion a year, according to the ASEAN Investment Report 2024.

As Western investors try to diversify away from China amid geopolitical tensions between the Washington and Beijing, Southeast Asian countries are becoming a top choice for foreign investment from the US, Japan and the EU.

Nguyen Khac Giang said Vietnam is taking advantage of those tensions.

“I think Vietnam can maintain its growth momentum due to its domestic advantage of a 100-million population with a rising middle class, while also optimizing the benefits of its geopolitical position in the great power competition between China and the US,” he said.

China has also been investing in Southeast Asia, with Beijing and Hanoi establishing their “comprehensive strategic partnership” in 2008.

‘China plus one’

Like China, Vietnam’s economic growth comes under the stewardship of a one-party system, with the Communist Party having complete controlover the state’s functions, social organizations and media.

“China is Vietnam’s biggest trade partner, but more importantly, it plays a crucial role in Vietnam’s manufacturing sector, as most of its inputs come from China. I don’t think that will change in the foreseeable future,” Nguyen Khac Giang said.

“China Plus One” is a global economic business strategy for investors to reduce sole reliance on market and supply chain operations in China, aiming to expand into other countries while maintaining presence in the Asian giant.

Countries in Southeast Asia are seen as suited alternatives.

Bich Tran, an adjunct fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), said Vietnam is a top choice.

“Vietnam is one of the top choices for many companies’ China plus one policy because of the geographical proximity and similar culture,” she told DW.

“For those who have been operating in China, moving to Vietnam is much easier, and dealing with the Vietnamese would be more familiar than dealing with Indonesia or Malaysia,” she said.

“That being said, Vietnam is much smaller than China, so it can only absorb a small number of companies who want to relocate. India, if they open up their economy, would have much better chance of competing with China than Vietnam,” she added.

Vietnam attracts Western economies

The US is Vietnam’s second biggest trade partner and largest export market.

In September 2023, Washington and Hanoi upgraded their diplomatic relations, signing a “Comprehensive Strategic Partnership for Peace, Cooperation and Sustainable Development.” Analysts say the agreement was largely to boost economic benefits.

The US is one of Vietnam’s growing list of strategic partners, including Australia, China, India, Russia, South Korea, and more recently France.

But huge investment from Washington is key to economic opportunities for Vietnam.

Apple, the US tech giant, was again named the most valuable company in the world this year.

Vietnam has become a key manufacturing location for the company, with Apple investing over $15 billion in the country in the last five years.

Apple CEO Tim Cook seen during a visit to Hanoi in 2024
© NHAC NGUYEN/AFP

 

Vietnam has low labor costs, and a young and large workforce, with 58% under 35-years-old, out of a population of almost 100 million, making the country an attractive bet for investment.

More structural reforms needed

However, strong growth is also encountering domestic issues. Although Vietnam has one of the fastest growing economies in the region, it has a poor reputation on corruption, political censorship, human rights and civic society.

Domestically, local small to medium companies are struggling to become as competitive as manufacturers exporting to international markets.

Prices are also increasing for essentials such as food production due to climate change events, such as the recent Typhoon Yagi. Vietnam faces frequent electricity shortages, and experts say it must increase the use renewable energy.

Sebastian Eckardt, a practice manager for East Asia at the World Bank, said structural reforms are needed.

“During the first half of the year, Vietnam’s economy benefitted from the rebound in export demand. To sustain growth momentum not only for the rest of the year but over the medium term, the authorities should deepen structural reforms, step up public investment while carefully managing emerging financial risks,” Eckard said.

Edited by: Wesley Rahn

Author: Tommy Walker (in Bangkok)

Business

Dangote refinery, NNPC: More fuel stations increase pump price in Nigeria

Published

on

Spread the love

The price of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly known as fuel, has recorded a significant increase in the past days, which may worsen the economic hardship Nigerians face.

MRS, a filling station partner of Dangote Refinery, kicked off the latest fuel price increase when it adjusted its petrol pump to between N925 and N950 per litre in Lagos and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.

Similarly, other fuel marketers such as Empire Energy, Recoil, Juda Oil, Total, Emedab, and others also increased their fuel pump to between N950 and N970 per litre.

On Wednesday, the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited retail outlets also jacked up their fuel price to N950 per litre from N880 in Abuja.

Summarily, Ekwutosblog observed motorists will have to pay N70 more to buy a litre of petrol in the coming days.

The development comes amid the suspension of petrol product sales in Naira by Dangote Refinery. This follows the initiation of the naira-for-crude sale deal between Dangote Refinery and the federal government through NNPCL.

On Wednesday, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu announced a reshuffling of NNPCL.

Meanwhile, local oil prices are increasing in Nigeria, despite the decline in global crude prices. As of the time of this report, United States West Texas Intermediate was at $62.15 per barrel, down from above $65, while Brent crude stood at $65.42 per barrel, down from $72 last week.

Continue Reading

Business

Global Billionaires’ Net Worth Plummets by $65 Billion Amid Market Downturn

Published

on

Elon musk, Jeff Bezos, Larry Elison
Spread the love

 

In a significant setback, the world’s wealthiest individuals collectively lost over $65 billion in net worth today, as key market sectors experienced a sharp downturn.

This decline affected prominent figures in technology, finance, and other industries, sending shockwaves through financial markets.

Ekwutosblog reports that the downturn occurs amidst cautious optimism that new US policies may not be as severe as initially feared.

However, the immediate impact has already been felt, leading to a decline in the net worth of billionaires such as Elon Musk, Warren Buffett, and Jeff Bezos, amongst others  who have significant stakes in tech, finance, and other industries.

The global billionaire population has been growing, with over 2,850 individuals representing almost $15 trillion in wealth.


Despite this growth, the market downturn serves as a reminder of the volatility and risks associated with wealth concentration.

Continue Reading

Business

Sterling Bank Makes History: Scraps Transfer Fees for Local Online Transactions, Earns Praise from Lawmakers, Including Mohammed Bello El-Rufai, and the Public

Published

on

Spread the love

Sterling Bank has taken a groundbreaking step to ease the financial burden on Nigerians by eliminating transfer fees and other charges for local online transactions.

This move is a significant stride towards financial inclusion and customer-centric banking, particularly during a time when economic pressures are high.

Ekwutosblog gathered that this initiative has been commended by Mohammed Bello El-Rufai, Chairman of the House Committee on Banking Regulations, who praised Sterling Bank’s commitment to creating a more accessible and equitable banking system.

El-Rufai encouraged other financial institutions to follow Sterling Bank’s example, emphasizing that a competitive banking sector prioritizing Nigerians’ interests will strengthen the economy and rebuild public trust in financial services.

Sterling Bank’s decision to scrap transfer fees is expected to benefit individuals and small business owners who frequently make online transactions. The bank’s customers can now perform local transfers via the mobile app without incurring any charges. Obinna Ukachukwu, Growth Executive at Sterling Bank, stated that access to one’s own money shouldn’t come with a penalty, highlighting the bank’s values-driven approach to customer-centric banking.

This move has sparked widespread public approval, with many calling on other banks to adopt similar policies.

As policymakers, El-Rufai reiterated their commitment to fostering a regulatory environment that encourages pro-customer initiatives while ensuring sustainability within the banking sector.

Continue Reading

Trending