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What’s keeping Russia from starting a war with NATO?

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Would Putin ever start a war with NATO?
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As the third anniversary of the Russia-Ukraine war approaches, there is growing concern about the potential for further escalation, which could have global implications.

 

Putin’s nightmare
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Many people believe that the Russian invasion of Ukraine ordered by Vladimir Putin could lead us to World War III. However, there’s one factor people need to consider.

 

Meet Admiral Sir Antony Radakin
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Royal Navy Admiral Sir Antony Radakin might be a name not many people know but, as the Chief of the Defence Staff, he’s none other than the head of the British Armed Forces.

 

Shocking news about possible Armageddon
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Radakin spoke in February 2024 about the possibility of a full-on conflict between the Russian Federation and the countries that make up the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. The head of the British Armed Forces responded in a way that shocked many.

 

Don’t hold your breath for WWIII
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The Daily Mail reported that, during an event in London’s Chatham House, Radakin confessed that not only an open war between Western Europe and Russia was not near, but it was also, in fact, very unlikely.

 

Putin is afraid of NATO
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The reason? Well, according to Radakin, it’s because Vladimir Putin is afraid of a direct confrontation with NATO.

 

‘We are safe because we are part of NATO’
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“Britain is safe. We are safe because we are part of NATO, the world’s largest and strongest alliance, and also because we are a responsible nuclear power”. Radakin assured the public, as quoted by British newspaper The Standard.

 

The Russian surprise
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According to The Standard, the operational head of the British Armed Forces told the audience that there were surprised how weak and inexperienced Russian troops turned out to be while on the ground in Ukraine.

 

Retaliation
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“The inescapable fact is that any Russian assault or incursion against NATO would prompt an overwhelming response”, Radakin stated, as quoted by Business Insider.

 

Russia’s force in numbers
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According to Al Jazeera, Russia was estimated to have over 1.3 million soldiers by January 2024 and overall, 2.2 million people as Russian military personnel.

 

Force, counterforce
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NATO, meanwhile, is reported to have some 3.5 million soldiers, with thousands already mobilized in Poland in the Baltic countries.

 

‘Russia will lose’
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“The biggest reason that Putin doesn’t want a conflict with NATO is because Russia will lose. And lose quickly”, assured the British Chief of the Defence Staff Tony Radakin, per Business Insider.

 

Hackers, spies, and other threats
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Radakin, however, believes that this doesn’t mean that Russia would be dissuaded to commit acts of cyberattack and other forms of sabotage.

 

Some wild predictions in the past
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It’s important to remember that, in the past, the current Chief of the British Defence Staff made some wild predictions about the turn of the war that failed to come true.

 

Missteps
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The Financial Times reported in July 2023 that Radakin affirmed that Russia had lost half of its combat capabilities and rejected criticism on Ukraine’s counteroffensive.

 

Miscalculations
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And all the way back in June 2022, German state news agency DW quoted Radakin claiming that Russia had already lost the war.

 

Betting against the apocalpyse
©Provided by The Daily Digest
Let’s hope Radakin is right on the money this time, otherwise all bets are off when it comes to World War III.

Politics

Trump or Harris: Who is ahead in the swing states?

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Trump or Harris: Who is ahead in the swing states? © Unsplash
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Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona. In the United States, these states are called the “swing states”, the 7 states that could change everything.

As Ekwutosblog points out, the American election is not played by direct universal suffrage. The candidate who obtains the most votes is not necessarily the one who will be elected. In order to be elected president, a candidate must have a plebiscite of at least 270 electors. Each state has a number of electors corresponding to the number of its representatives in Congress. The “swing states” are often those that change everything, they are the states where the elections are really played out.

With less than 4 weeks to go before the election, French media Le Parisien has taken into consideration the situation in which Donald Trump and Kamala Harris find themselves within these 7 states. Based on data from the FiveThirtyEight site, here is what emerges:

The two candidates are side by side. While Donald Trump was leading in most swing states until the end of July, the arrival of Kamala Harris in the presidential race has reshuffled the cards. According to Le Parisien, the Democratic candidate is ahead of her opponent in voting intentions in Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan and Wisconsin. In Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia, the polls show a real to-and-fro between the two candidates.

At this stage, while the gap is only two points (barely) between Trump and Harris, the results are impossible to predict. The election could be decided by a handful of votes.

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Rivers Assembly declare pro-Fubara lawmakers’ seats vacant

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The Rivers State House of Assembly has declared the seats of Edison Ehie, the Chief of Staff to Governor Siminalayi Fubara, and three other pro-Fubara lawmakers vacant in the wake of their absence from sittings for 152 days.

While making the declaration on Tuesday during plenary, the Speaker Rt Hon. Martin Amaewhule explained that Ehie did not properly write to inform the House of his new office, and as such his seat has been declared vacant.

Regarding Victor Oko-Jumbo and the two others, the House held three separate votes to declare their seats vacant for absenteeism from sitting for 152 days consecutively without notification or permission, in violation of the 1999 Constitution.

Ekwutosblog gathered that the House  further agreed to write to the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, to conduct elections to replace the now vacant seats within 90 days to provide representation for their people.

Also, the Assembly agreed to give Fubara another opportunity to present the 2024 Appropriations Bill following the Appeal Court’s nullification of the N800 billion budget which he had presented to a parallel House led by Edison Ehie.

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US election: Joe Biden insists Kamala Harris will ‘cut her own path’

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President Joe Biden speaking in Philadelphia at political event. © Jose Luis Magana/AP
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US President Joe Biden on Tuesday emphasised that Vice President Kamala Harris would “cut her own path” if she wins the 2024 election, signalling a shift in focus with three weeks to go until election day.

Speaking at the Sheet Metal Workers International Association in Philadelphia, Biden highlighted Harris’s potential to bring fresh perspectives to the country’s challenges, contrasting her approach with that of former President Donald Trump, whose views Biden labelled as “old, failed, and thoroughly dishonest”.

Biden’s remarks suggest Harris will have more freedom to establish her own political identity in the final weeks of the campaign.

Harris, who has faced increasing pressure to clarify how her policies would differ from Biden’s, has maintained loyalty to the president while focusing on her vision for change.

Harris has repeatedly said, “I’m not Joe Biden,” but has not been forthcoming with any specific policy distinctions.

Reflecting on his own presidency, Biden noted, “Every president has to cut their own path. That’s what I did, and that’s what Kamala will do.”

He praised Harris’s leadership and expressed confidence in her ability to guide the country forward, assuring the audience that passing the torch to Harris was a decision he made with full confidence in her ability to lead the next generation.

Biden also took the opportunity to attack Trump, criticising his refusal to accept the 2020 election results and his support of the Capitol riot on 6 January 2021.

Biden has made few public campaign appearances since stepping back from the 2024 race, which he dropped out of after a poor debate performance saw his party lobbying him hard to give up his candidacy.

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