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Japan’s ruling coalition at risk of losing majority in election, exit polls show

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A man casts his ballot at a polling station in Tokyo on Sunday. Photograph: Franck Robichon/EPA © Photograph: Franck Robichon/EPA
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Japan’s ruling coalition could lose its majority in parliament in Sunday’s general election, according to exit polls, after suffering losses amid voter anger over a funding scandal and the cost of living crisis in the world’s fourth-biggest economy.

A poll by the national broadcaster NHK showed that the Liberal Democratic party (LDP), which has ruled Japan almost without interruption since the mid-1950s, and its junior coalition partner, Komeito, were set to win between 174 and 254 of the 465 seats in the lower house of parliament.

The main opposition Constitutional Democratic party (CDP) is predicted to win 128 to 191 seats. The outcome may force the LDP or CDP into power-sharing agreements with other parties to form a government. The official result is not expected until Monday morning.

The LDP’s ability to form a government will depend on whether it can continue as the senior partner in a coalition with Komeito, a much smaller party that was also projected to lose seats. The two parties together need 233 seats to retain a majority.

While the result is not a repeat of the political seismic shock of 15 years ago – an unprecedented defeat for the LDP – it has left the party significantly weakened and will raise questions about the future of the recently installed prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba.

Ishiba had warned that the LDP had work to do to regain public trust after months of controversy over MPs’ undeclared slush funds. “We want to start afresh as a fair, just and sincere party, and seek your mandate,” he told supporters on the eve of the vote.

Ishiba, a former defence minister, became the party’s president – and Japan’s new prime minister – last month after his predecessor, Fumio Kishida, announced he was stepping down to take responsibility for the funding scandal.

Dozens of LDP lawmakers were found to have siphoned unreported profits from the sale of tickets to party gatherings into slush funds.

Several senior figures were disciplined, and the party withdrew its support for several candidates in Sunday’s vote – moves that failed to repair the damage inflicted by the funding scandal.

Ishiba, who is battling low approval ratings just weeks into his premiership, was wrongfooted days before the vote when the media reported that the party had given millions of yen in campaign funds to local party chapters whose candidates had lost the party’s endorsement.

Japan’s longsuffering opposition was pinning its hopes on the scandal triggering a repeat of the 2009 lower house election, the last time the LDP was deposed.

The CDP leader, Yoshihiko Noda, accused the LDP of ignoring the needs of ordinary people, as polls said most voters wanted action on rising prices, as well as tax cuts and wage rises. “The LDP’s politics are all about quickly implementing policies for those who give them lots of cash,” Noda told supporters on Saturday. “But vulnerable people have been ignored.”

Takeshi Ito, a 38-year-old voter, said he would support the LDP in the absence of a viable alternative.

“Even if I were to switch to an opposition party, it’s still unclear whether they could push forward reforms, and I don’t know if I can trust them or not at this point,” Ito said. “I want to see the party in power continue to move forward.”

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UK Tories consider replacing Kemi Badenoch as party leader after poor ratings

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Kemi Badenoch
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Six months after Kemi Badenoch was elected leader of the UK Conservative Party, internal discussions have already shifted toward the possibility of replacing her.

With local elections in England approaching, many Conservative MPs and officials are increasingly dissatisfied with Badenoch’s leadership and have expressed concerns that she is not the right person to lead the party into the next general election, scheduled for 2029.

According to more than two dozen sources who spoke to Bloomberg on the condition of anonymity, there is growing support within the party to replace Badenoch with Robert Jenrick, the right-wing shadow justice secretary.

The discontent comes amid low polling numbers for the Tories and the perception that Badenoch, who became leader on November 2, 2024,has failed to address key issues, leaving the party vulnerable to challenges from Nigel Farage’s Reform Party. Badenoch’s spokesperson declined to comment on the situation, while Jenrick’s spokesperson pointed to an interview in which he expressed support for Badenoch’s leadership, suggesting people should give her time.

The situation is expected to worsen with the upcoming local elections, where the Conservatives are predicted to lose a significant number of seats. The Tories’ performance in these elections is crucial, as they are seen as an early indicator of the party’s standing ahead of the general election. In the last local election in 2021, the Conservatives won nearly half the races, bolstered by then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s successful COVID-19 vaccine rollout. However, since then, the party’s popularity has plummeted, and they are now facing their worst-ever performance.

Political analysts predict a “total wipe-out” for the Conservatives in the upcoming elections, with Rob Ford, a professor of political science at the University of Manchester, calling it a “total and unmitigated disaster.” After briefly overtaking Labour in polls late last year, the Conservatives have fallen more than five percentage points behind both Labour and Reform, with the latter now emerging as a strong challenger on the right.

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After meeting with Zelenskyy, Trump questions Putin’s willingness to stop Ukraine war

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Washington, DC [US], April 27 (ANI): US President Donald Trump has questioned his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin’s willingness to stop the war and criticised recent missile strikes in Ukraine, CNN reported.

Trump said after his meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the Vatican on the sidelines of Pope Francis’ funeral, on Saturday.

It was the first meeting between the two leaders since their meeting in the White House, when Zelenskyy faced criticism from Trump and Vice President JD Vance over what they saw as a lack of gratitude for American support.

In a post shared on his social media platform, Truth Social, as he was heading back to the US from Rome, Trump hinted at imposing sanctions against Moscow after Russia’s latest missile attack on Ukraine and questioned whether Putin wants to stop the war.

Donald Trump even criticised former US President Barack Obama and suggested that he “made it possible for Russia to steal Crimea from Ukraine without even a shot being fired.”

In a post shared on Truth Social on Saturday, Trump shared, “No matter what deal I make with respect to Russia/Ukraine, no matter how good it is, even if it’s the greatest deal ever made, The Failing New York Times will speak BADLY of it. Liddle’ Peter Baker, the very biased and untalented writer for The Times, followed his Editor’s demands and wrote that Ukraine should get back territory, including, I suppose, Crimea, and other ridiculous requests, in order to stop the killing that is worse than anything since World War II. Why doesn’t this lightweight reporter say that it was Obama who made it possible for Russia to steal Crimea from Ukraine without even a shot being fired. It was also Liddle’ Peter who wrote an absolutely fawning, yet terribly written Biography, on Obama. It was a JOKE! Did Baker ever criticize the Obama Crimea Giveaway? NO, not once, only TRUMP, and I’ve had nothing to do with this stupid war, other than early on, when I gave Ukraine Javelins, and Obama gave them sheets.”

“This is Sleepy Joe Biden’s War, not mine. It was a loser from day one, and should have never happened, and wouldn’t have happened if I were President at the time. I’m just trying to clean up the mess that was left to me by Obama and Biden, and what a mess it is. With all of that being said, there was no reason for Putin to be shooting missiles into civilian areas, cities and towns, over the last few days. It makes me think that maybe he doesn’t want to stop the war, he’s just tapping me along, and has to be dealt with differently, through “Banking” or “Secondary Sanctions?” Too many people are dying,” he added.

Trump and Zelenskyy spoke ahead of the funeral of Pope Francis. Describing his meeting with Trump as “good,” Zelenskyy said that talks focused on “full and unconditional ceasefire.” He expressed hope to see results on everything they discussed.

In a post on X, Zelenskyy said, “Good meeting. We discussed a lot one-on-one. Hoping for results on everything we covered. Protecting lives of our people. Full and unconditional ceasefire. Reliable and lasting peace that will prevent another war from breaking out. Very symbolic meeting that has potential to become historic, if we achieve joint results. Thank you POTUS.”

Trump and Zelenskyy had a “very productive” meeting in Rome, a White House official said – their first meeting since a tense meeting in the White House in February this year, Al Jazeera stated.

On Saturday, White House communications director Steven Cheung said, “President Trump and President Zelenskyy met privately today and had a very productive discussion. More details about the meeting will follow,” Al Jazeera reported.

In a post on X, Ukraine’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Andrii Sybiha stated, “No words are needed to describe the importance of this historic meeting. Two leaders working for peace in St. Peter’s Basilica.”

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2027 Elections: El-Rufai meets Kwankwaso in Abuja

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Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso
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Former Kaduna State governor, Mallam Nasir El-Rufai, on Friday met with the national leader of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP), Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, in Abuja, fueling speculation about Kwankwaso’s possible return to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).

The two political heavyweights were seen together after Jumaat prayers at a mosque in the nation’s capital.

El-Rufai was accompanied by his eldest son, Hon. Bello El-Rufai, during the meeting, according to a report by The Nation.

The meeting comes against the backdrop of growing rumours that Kwankwaso has struck a deal with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu that could see him, along with his political followers, rejoin the APC.

Observers believe that Kwankwaso’s return could significantly boost Tinubu’s chances of securing re-election in the 2027 general elections.

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