China poised to approve more help for ailing economy

China is expected to unveil a huge support package for the struggling economy Friday as officials wrap up a key meeting with an eye on the possibility of intensified trade tensions with US president-elect Donald Trump.

Economists predict Beijing will approve hundreds of billions of dollars of help, with a focus on indebted local governments as well as cash for banks aimed at writing off non-performing loans.

Policymakers were keeping tabs on the US vote as they gathered in the Chinese capital this week for a meeting of the country’s top lawmaking body.

Trump promised during his campaign of punishing tariffs on Chinese goods that threaten further grief for the world’s second-largest economy, which is already grappling with a prolonged housing crisis and sluggish consumption.

Observers say Beijing could seek to cushion that blow with a long-awaited “bazooka stimulus” for the economy — though caution details might still take time.

The meeting, originally scheduled for late October, was likely pushed back to allow “policymakers a chance to address a possible Trump win”, Lynn Song, chief economist for Greater China at ING, said.

“In our view, the odds for a larger policy support package will rise somewhat with a Trump victory,” he added.

Trump’s victory is “not necessarily bad for China as this may ‘pressure’ Beijing for a bigger stimulus”, Qi Wang, CIO of UOB Kay Hian Wealth Management, said on X.

State media this week reported that officials had reviewed a bill to raise local government debt ceilings.

That move, touted last month, would allow authorities to borrow more to fund the acquisition of unused land for development — a move aimed at pulling the property market out of a prolonged slump.

Beijing in September began to unveil a raft of measures aimed at boosting economic activity, including rate cuts and the easing of some home purchasing restrictions, but analysts have bemoaned the lack of detail so far.

Trump’s re-election provides a need for greater urgency, experts say, though caution may still prevail as officials try to avoid piling on more government debt.

“Any potential stimulus size may be bigger, but so is the pressure,” Gary Ng, senior economist at Natixis, said.

“The market may still not get the economic boosters it wants,” he warned.

China’s Premier Li Qiang this week said he was “fully confident” that the country would hit its growth target of around five percent for 2024, even after figures showed the economy saw its slowest expansion in a year and a half during the third quarter.

And in a rare bright spot, data Thursday showed the nation’s exports surged last month at their fastest pace in more than two years.

But Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, warned “we cannot rely on exports to carry China’s economy”. “I expect fiscal policy will become more proactive next year as a pillar for growth,” he said.

Japanese automaker Nissan on Thursday announced 9,000 job cuts as it slashed its annual sales forecast, saying it was taking urgent measures to tackle “a severe situation”.

The company reported a 93 percent plunge in net profit in the first half as CEO Makoto Uchida told reporters that weak sales in the North American market were a major factor.

Nissan and its domestic rivals are also struggling to stand their ground in China, as fast-growing electric vehicle firms backed by Beijing race ahead.

“Facing a severe situation, Nissan is taking urgent measures to turnaround its performance and create a leaner, more resilient business capable of swiftly adapting to changes in the market,” a company statement said.

“Nissan will cut global production capacity by 20 percent and reduce its global workforce by 9,000,” it added.

Uchida “will voluntarily forfeit 50 percent of his monthly compensation starting in November 2024 and the other executive committee members will also voluntarily take a pay reduction accordingly”, the statement said.

The firm now expects net sales of 12.7 trillion yen ($80 billion) — down from 14 trillion previously forecast.

But Nissan did not issue a net profit forecast on Thursday, having downgraded it in July to 300 billion yen. In the six months to September, net profit was just 19.2 billion yen.

“Net income is to be determined due to ongoing assessment of costs necessary for the planned turnaround efforts,” Uchida said.

Nissan’s “core” vehicle models are not performing as well as before in North America, he added. “From the cost perspective, and the brand-strength perspective, we will rebuild our brand in America,” Uchida said.

Among other measures, the automaker will reduce its stake in Mitsubishi Motors by selling shares back to the firm.

It said its stake in Mitsubishi will fall to around 24 percent from 34 percent currently. Uchida added that Nissan would keep close ties with the company.

Nissan has seen a turbulent decade that included the shock 2018 arrest of former boss Carlos Ghosn, who later jumped bail and fled Japan concealed in a music equipment box.

Ghosn remains an international fugitive in Lebanon and denies the allegations against him. He said he fled Japan because he did not believe he could receive a fair trial.

When asked about Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, Uchida said Nissan was “hearing various things, like tariffs, but it’s not just us”.

“We will be lobbying, and the direction of our medium- to long-term plans should remain, but we will conduct our business while monitoring the situation carefully,” he added.

TCN GIVES UPDATE ON LATEST GRID COLLAPSE

The Transmission Company of Nigeria TCN says the disturbance on the national grid earlier experienced Thursday, 7th November 2024, was as a result of sudden rise in frequency, and that the recovery efforts had commenced with electricity supply restored in some parts of the country within twenty eight minutes of occurrence.

TCN also adds that the frequency spike was caused by issues encountered at one of the substations.

It notes that due to the ongoing repair work on the transmission lines along the Shiroro–Mando axis, major upgrades at the Jebba Transmission Substation, and the restoration of the second Ugwuaji–Apir transmission line, some degree of instability in the system, TCN says, is likely to persist until all major works are completed.

TCN regrets the impact of these disruptions, and asks for the understanding and patience of the consumers as the company remains committed to improving the reliability of electricity supply.