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Presidential candidate opens up lead in the betting odds

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The former president leads Harris in four of the six major betting markets
Trump also leads the polling averages in three key swing states
The lead is Trump’s highest with the bookmakers since August 22
Donald Trump has opened up a lead over Kamala Harris in the betting markets after the vice president had been gaining momentum all the way into a tie with the former president.

According to Real Clear Polling, which aggregates half a dozen gambling sources on the election, Trump now has a 49.7% chance of winning, leading Harris (48.8%) by less than a point. It’s Trump’s largest lead since August 22.

The pair were tied as recently as August 31, after Harris had come from just a 29% chance on July 21, the day Joe Biden dropped out of the race and Harris announced her own run.

Of the six bookmakers in RCP’s aggregate, only PredictIt (53%) shows Harris with a clear lead.

Trump and Harris are tied in the Bwin betting markets but Trump holds a lead over the ex-California Senator in the other four, with Bovada giving him a 52% chance of victory.

 

Donald Trump has opened up a lead over Kamala Harris in the betting markets after the vice president had been gaining momentum all the way into a tie with the former president

 

The pair were tied as recently as August 31, after Harris had come from just a 29% chance on July 21, the day Joe Biden dropped out of the race and Harris announced her own run

 

Polling still shows Harris with a slight advantage, as the vice president has a 1.8% lead over Trump in RCP’s polling averages.

However, Trump leads the polling average in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina and is tied with Harris in Nevada.

The vice president leads the averages in the other three swing states: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

If all other results held from the 2020 election and those states went the way of the averages, Harris would have exactly 270 electoral votes pending Nevada’s result.

However, the latest swing state polling suggests that Kamala Harris has received little to no convention boost, showing Donald Trump ahead of the vice president in several crucial swing states.

A Trafalgar Group survey of seven of the toughest contests – considered by experts to be Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada – show Trump either in the lead or even with Harris.

Trump leads Harris 47% to 45% in Pennsylvania and 47% to 46% in Wisconsin, two states that flipped to red in 2016 when Trump won before flipping back to Democrats in 2020 when he lost to Joe Biden.

The Trafalgar survey, which is considered by polling aggregators to lean Republican, also shows Harris almost even with Trump in Michigan, with the former president eking out a 47% to 46.6% lead.

Trump leads the polling average in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina and is tied with Harris in Nevada

 

Polling still shows Harris with a slight advantage, as the vice president has a 1.8% lead over Trump in RCP’s polling averages

 

Michigan was another state that Trump took from Hillary Clinton in 2016 before ceding to Biden four years later.

A separate survey by Insider Advantage shows Trump up by one point in Arizona (49%-48%), Nevada (48%-47%) and North Carolina (49%-48%) with Harris and Trump level at 48% in Georgia.

Both campaigns are targeting independent and undecided voters in the seven key swing states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Harris and vice presidential nominee Tim Walz spent Labor Day in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, including one event with Biden, while Trump did not make a public appearance.

Similarly to Harris, Trump also did not experience the usual post-Convention bounce after the RNC in Milwaukee, Wisconsin in July.

The stagnant nature of the standing between Trump and Harris is indicative of the locked-in nature of the highly polarized 2024 race as the campaigns enter the final two months before Election Day.

Trump leads in top concerns that voters care about heading into the election, including an 8 percent advance in trust to address the economy and soaring inflation and a 9 point lead in handling immigration at the southern border.

The candidates’ running mates are head-to-head with only one percentage point division of those who think they are prepared to be president if needed. Walz has 50 percent confidence compared to the 49 percent earned by Vance.

But a quarter of survey respondents were not ready to express their opinion of either Walz or Vance.

Much of this week’s narrative appears set to preview the September 10 debate in Philadelphia between Trump and Harris, televised by ABC News.

Trump will appear at a Fox News town hall with Sean Hannity at the New Holland Arena in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania on September 4.

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Biden and Trump to meet in the Oval Office, the White House says

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Biden and Trump to meet in the Oval Office, the White House says
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President Joe Biden will host President-elect Donald Trump for a traditional postelection meeting in the Oval Office on Wednesday, the White House has confirmed.

Such a meeting is customary between the outgoing president and the incoming president, and is meant partly to mark the start of a peaceful transfer of power under America’s democracy.

But Trump, a Republican, did not host Biden, a Democrat, for a sit-down after the 2020 election, when Trump lost his reelection bid.

Trump sought the presidency four years later, and this week he defeated Vice President Kamala Harris, a Democrat. Trump is the first former president to return to power since Grover Cleveland regained the White House in the 1892 election.

The White House said Biden called Trump this past Wednesday to congratulate him and invite him to meet in the Oval Office.

In a speech on Thursday, Biden said he had assured Trump “that I would direct my entire administration to work with his team to ensure a peaceful and orderly transition. That’s what the American people deserve.”

Their upcoming meeting is set for 11am EST (7pm GMT).


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Zelenskyy hits out at ceasefire proposal

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Zelenskyy hits out at ceasefire proposal © Karollyne Videira for Unsplash
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has rejected calls for a ceasefire put forward by some leaders, arguing that a temporary halt in fighting would only benefit Russia and that measures are needed to prevent further escalation of the conflict.

At a recent summit, Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed the idea of a ceasefire, stating: “A ceasefire is proposed, for instance, by a leader who opposes Ukraine’s integration into NATO. Imagine… it’s absurd and divisive.”

This statement comes as Ukraine, for the first time this week, targeted North Korean soldiers sent to Russia.

According to a high-ranking U.S. official speaking anonymously to the New York Times, Kim Jong Un’s troops have already suffered heavy casualties.

Meanwhile, Joe Biden has promised to continue supporting Ukraine militarily and financially during the final two months of his term before leaving the White House.

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Obaseki: EFCC May Arrest Me Next Week But I Have Nothing To Hide

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Obaseki: EFCC May Arrest Me Next Week But I Have Nothing To Hide
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Godwin Obaseki, governor of Edo state, says he has been told that operatives of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) will come knocking when his tenure elapses next week.

Obaseki of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) will be handing over to Monday Okpebholo of the All Progressives Congress (APC) on November 12.

Speaking in Abuja on Thursday, during the EdoBEST National Results-Sharing Session, ThisDay reports Obaseki as saying that he would spend his time in EFCC custody doing some research.

“I hear that the EFCC will pick me next week after my tenure. Wherever they keep me, I’ll spend time doing research,” he said.

Obaseki, who has served as Edo governor since 2016, said he has left a legacy in the state.

“There are many things we have done that can be described as legacy projects,” he added.

“I believe in Edo state. One of the things that will last for a very long time to come is the fact that we were able to focus on Edo people and the things that matter to them, reform and implement those things.”

Obaseki said he is being hounded by a “cruel and wicked” opposition in the state, adding that he would gladly hand himself over to the anti-graft agency when the operatives come calling.

“Why should I have fears? I just focused on what I believe in and today, you can see what has been achieved. What happens after that is not up to me,” the outgoing governor said.

“They can continue with their political witch-hunt and do all they can to hurt me, that’s their problem.

“I’m not afraid, I’m not worried. They have written all sorts of silly petitions against me and that’s part of the challenge. In fact, I can even hand myself over, and if they call me, I don’t have anything to hide.

“You know how this country is, it is all about bitterness, it is all about vendetta, wickedness.

“People who have opposed me in Edo state are cruel, very wicked people, very jealous and envious and this is because they cannot show as much as the achievements we have made in the past eight years.

“But what is important to us is to focus on our people in order to make Nigeria better because the suffering is too much.

“We have the advantage and privilege to make things happen. So, we should focus on issues and not on vendetta.”

On September 22, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) declared Okpebholo winner of the Edo governorship election with 291,667 votes.

Asue Ighodalo of the PDP and Obaseki’s preferred candidate, polled second with 247,274 votes.

Ighodalo has promised to challenge the outcome of the election in court.

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