Politics
Presidential candidate opens up lead in the betting odds
Published
5 months agoon
By
Ekwutos Blog
The former president leads Harris in four of the six major betting markets
Trump also leads the polling averages in three key swing states
The lead is Trump’s highest with the bookmakers since August 22
Donald Trump has opened up a lead over Kamala Harris in the betting markets after the vice president had been gaining momentum all the way into a tie with the former president.
According to Real Clear Polling, which aggregates half a dozen gambling sources on the election, Trump now has a 49.7% chance of winning, leading Harris (48.8%) by less than a point. It’s Trump’s largest lead since August 22.
The pair were tied as recently as August 31, after Harris had come from just a 29% chance on July 21, the day Joe Biden dropped out of the race and Harris announced her own run.
Of the six bookmakers in RCP’s aggregate, only PredictIt (53%) shows Harris with a clear lead.
Trump and Harris are tied in the Bwin betting markets but Trump holds a lead over the ex-California Senator in the other four, with Bovada giving him a 52% chance of victory.
Polling still shows Harris with a slight advantage, as the vice president has a 1.8% lead over Trump in RCP’s polling averages.
However, Trump leads the polling average in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina and is tied with Harris in Nevada.
The vice president leads the averages in the other three swing states: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
If all other results held from the 2020 election and those states went the way of the averages, Harris would have exactly 270 electoral votes pending Nevada’s result.
However, the latest swing state polling suggests that Kamala Harris has received little to no convention boost, showing Donald Trump ahead of the vice president in several crucial swing states.
A Trafalgar Group survey of seven of the toughest contests – considered by experts to be Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada – show Trump either in the lead or even with Harris.
Trump leads Harris 47% to 45% in Pennsylvania and 47% to 46% in Wisconsin, two states that flipped to red in 2016 when Trump won before flipping back to Democrats in 2020 when he lost to Joe Biden.
The Trafalgar survey, which is considered by polling aggregators to lean Republican, also shows Harris almost even with Trump in Michigan, with the former president eking out a 47% to 46.6% lead.
Michigan was another state that Trump took from Hillary Clinton in 2016 before ceding to Biden four years later.
A separate survey by Insider Advantage shows Trump up by one point in Arizona (49%-48%), Nevada (48%-47%) and North Carolina (49%-48%) with Harris and Trump level at 48% in Georgia.
Both campaigns are targeting independent and undecided voters in the seven key swing states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Harris and vice presidential nominee Tim Walz spent Labor Day in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, including one event with Biden, while Trump did not make a public appearance.
Similarly to Harris, Trump also did not experience the usual post-Convention bounce after the RNC in Milwaukee, Wisconsin in July.
The stagnant nature of the standing between Trump and Harris is indicative of the locked-in nature of the highly polarized 2024 race as the campaigns enter the final two months before Election Day.
Trump leads in top concerns that voters care about heading into the election, including an 8 percent advance in trust to address the economy and soaring inflation and a 9 point lead in handling immigration at the southern border.
The candidates’ running mates are head-to-head with only one percentage point division of those who think they are prepared to be president if needed. Walz has 50 percent confidence compared to the 49 percent earned by Vance.
But a quarter of survey respondents were not ready to express their opinion of either Walz or Vance.
Much of this week’s narrative appears set to preview the September 10 debate in Philadelphia between Trump and Harris, televised by ABC News.
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Gov. Okpebholo Sets Up Government Task Force in Edo State appoints SP Michael Anetor as Commander
Published
9 hours agoon
January 28, 2025By
Ekwutos Blog
The Edo State Government, in its commitment to eradicate illegality in all sectors of the state, has set up a Government Task Force to combat illegal activities in the state.
The team, which comprises the Nigerian Police, Military, Department of State Services (DSS), and the Nigerian Security and Civil Defence Corps, will be headed by SP. Michael Anetor, who has been appointed the Commander of the Team.
The team is expected to commence operations immediately, and work towards sanitising the entire state of illegality in no distant time, thereby actualising the “New Edo vision” of His Excellency, Senator Monday Okpebholo.
“Leave no stone unturned”, Gov. Okpebholo charged them.
The public is encouraged to report any suspected illegal activities to the official phone number of the team – 07018014525.
This is the New Edo We Voted For.
Politics
Poverty: Democracy fast losing its essence — Peter Obi
Published
17 hours agoon
January 28, 2025By
Ekwutos BlogThe Labour Party, LP, presidential candidate in the 2023 election, Peter Obi, says Nigeria’s democracy is fast losing its essence as a result of deep-rooted poverty ravaging the country.
Obi stated this in a post on his X handle on Monday.
The former Anambra State governor said the number of Nigerians living in poverty is alarming, a situation which he said democracy was supposed to address.
“With about 100 million Nigerians living in absolute poverty and 150 million in multidimensional poverty, democracy is fast losing its essence if it fails to address the fundamental needs of its citizens, particularly in critical areas such as health, education, and poverty alleviation,” he tweeted.
The politician, therefore, urged leaders to address poverty in the land by prioritizing and strengthening independent institutions and delivering economic progress to the people.
“We must confront the fundamental question: Is democracy truly addressing the needs of Nigerians? Are we building institutions that uphold accountability, justice, and fairness? To achieve a functional democracy, we must prioritize strengthening independent institutions, fostering governance that delivers economic and social progress, encouraging active citizenship to hold leaders accountable, and empowering our youth as drivers of nation-building.
“As Nelson Mandela once said, as long as poverty, injustice, and inequality exist, none of us can truly rest.
“Now is the time to deepen democracy and build a better future for all Nigerians. Amid the rise of coups across Africa and the growing fragility of democracies globally, it is evident that democracy cannot thrive without trust, robust institutions, and a steadfast commitment to the welfare of the people,” he added.
Obi further reiterated that for democracy in Africa to thrive beyond its current fragile state, it must operate within its foundational tenets, going beyond ceremonial elections. This requires building critical institutions that command trust and deliver absolute respect for the people’s will.
“Governance can only deliver tangible benefits when the will of the people prevails,” he added.
Politics
US President Donald Trump has signed four executive orders aimed at reshaping the US military. Including Banning Transgender Service Members
Published
18 hours agoon
January 28, 2025By
Ekwutos BlogUS President Donald Trump has signed four executive orders aimed at reshaping the US military. Including Banning Transgender Service Members
Trump has revoked an executive order signed by former President Biden in 2021, which allowed transgender people to serve in the military. The new order argues that allowing transgender people to serve openly has undermined military readiness and “unit cohesion”.
Gutting Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Programs: The order directs the removal of DEI practices inside the Pentagon, which has been a long-standing goal of Trump’s administration.
Reinstating Service Members Discharged for Refusing COVID-19 Vaccination: Trump’s order reinstates service members who were discharged for refusing to get vaccinated against COVID-19, with back pay and benefits.
Creating a “Next Generation” Missile Defense Shield: The fourth order directs the development of an advanced space-based missile defense system, dubbed the “Iron Dome” for America.
These executive orders mark a significant shift in US military policy, with Trump’s administration prioritizing military readiness and cost-efficiency. However, the orders have also sparked controversy, with critics arguing that they undermine diversity and inclusion in the military.
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