Trump or Harris: Who is ahead in the swing states?

Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona. In the United States, these states are called the “swing states”, the 7 states that could change everything.

As Ekwutosblog points out, the American election is not played by direct universal suffrage. The candidate who obtains the most votes is not necessarily the one who will be elected. In order to be elected president, a candidate must have a plebiscite of at least 270 electors. Each state has a number of electors corresponding to the number of its representatives in Congress. The “swing states” are often those that change everything, they are the states where the elections are really played out.

With less than 4 weeks to go before the election, French media Le Parisien has taken into consideration the situation in which Donald Trump and Kamala Harris find themselves within these 7 states. Based on data from the FiveThirtyEight site, here is what emerges:

The two candidates are side by side. While Donald Trump was leading in most swing states until the end of July, the arrival of Kamala Harris in the presidential race has reshuffled the cards. According to Le Parisien, the Democratic candidate is ahead of her opponent in voting intentions in Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan and Wisconsin. In Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia, the polls show a real to-and-fro between the two candidates.

At this stage, while the gap is only two points (barely) between Trump and Harris, the results are impossible to predict. The election could be decided by a handful of votes.