Trump vs Harris: Who is leading in the US presidential election polls?

On 5 November, US citizens will head to the polls to choose their next president in what has been a tense and dramatic race.

In late July, incumbent US President Joe Biden dropped his 2024 bid after weeks of pressure following a disastrous debate performance and increasing questions over his health.

Instead, Biden backed his vice president, setting the stage for a Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris matchup.

So who is in the lead, and who is predicted to win?

For those who follow the betting markets in search of predictions, Trump’s success in America’s swing states is starting to shift the odds in his favour.

According to RealClearPolitics Odds Averages, Trump has amassed his largest gambling market advantage since July, when the former president was still riding high on the wave of Biden’s poor debate and uncertain candidacy.

The current RCP Betting Odds Average gives Trump a 57.6% chance of winning the election.

On the issues motivating voters, Trump currently leads the most important category: the economy.

According to Gallup Research polling conducted in late September, more than half of American voters find the economy to be the most “extremely important” issue.

The Gallup poll also showed that Trump is viewed as “better able to handle the economy” than Harris by a 54-45% margin.

Other top issues include “Democracy in the US,” where Harris has the advantage and is the issue that matters most to Democrat voters, and “Foreign Policy,” where Trump is viewed as more capable by a 5% margin.

Our polling averages will be updated regularly.