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Trump vs Harris: Who is leading in the US presidential election polls?

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On 5 November, US citizens will head to the polls to choose their next president in what has been a tense and dramatic race.

In late July, incumbent US President Joe Biden dropped his 2024 bid after weeks of pressure following a disastrous debate performance and increasing questions over his health.

Instead, Biden backed his vice president, setting the stage for a Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris matchup.

So who is in the lead, and who is predicted to win?

For those who follow the betting markets in search of predictions, Trump’s success in America’s swing states is starting to shift the odds in his favour.

According to RealClearPolitics Odds Averages, Trump has amassed his largest gambling market advantage since July, when the former president was still riding high on the wave of Biden’s poor debate and uncertain candidacy.

The current RCP Betting Odds Average gives Trump a 57.6% chance of winning the election.

On the issues motivating voters, Trump currently leads the most important category: the economy.

According to Gallup Research polling conducted in late September, more than half of American voters find the economy to be the most “extremely important” issue.

The Gallup poll also showed that Trump is viewed as “better able to handle the economy” than Harris by a 54-45% margin.

Other top issues include “Democracy in the US,” where Harris has the advantage and is the issue that matters most to Democrat voters, and “Foreign Policy,” where Trump is viewed as more capable by a 5% margin.

Our polling averages will be updated regularly.

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Kwankwaso: NNPP considering three options – Ladipo Johnson

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Ladipo Johnson, the spokesperson for the New Nigeria Peoples Party, NNPP, has said the party is considering three possibilities ahead of 2027 presidential election.

Johnson said the NNPP was considering joining forces with the APC, the coalition of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar or standing on its own in 2027.

This comes amid defections from the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, to the APC.

Atiku recently announced the formation of a coalition alongside his former counterpart of Labour Party, Peter Obi; ex-Kaduna State governor, Nasir El-Rufai and some other politicians.

The former PDP presidential candidate, had his ex-running mate, Ifeanyi Okowa defecting to the APC.

Also, Governor Sheriff Oborevwori of Delta State also dumped the opposition party to the APC.

Amid these defections, the House of Representatives member from Ideato Federal constituency of Imo State, Ikenga Ugochinyere, had claimed that two more state governors and 40 PDP lawmakers will soon defect.

Ugochinyere urged the PDP’s National Working Committee, NWC, to urgently take steps towards addressing the imminent danger.

He disclosed this while addressing PDP members in Akokwa area of Imo State on Friday

However, Johnson, in a statement said: “Well, so far, what I’ll say is this: in the NNPP, we tend to, at least from our own history as the Kwankwasiyya movement, wait till midterm.

“May 29th will be the midterm for this administration. It will be two years down, and two years to go. That is when we believe that proper politicking will commence.

“So, yes, we are talking, and we’ve been talking. But you’ll recall that at that time, I told you I didn’t want to mention specifically the groups or persons or movements that are in conversation with us. That is still the position now.

“You’ll recall that there have been many publications in newspapers and online, insinuating that Senator Kwankwaso is moving to the APC, that it is imminent and all that. That is just the nature of the game. Some people are pressing or pushing that narrative for their selfish reasons.

“But the bottom line is that very soon, they will begin to hear from us. We will tell our supporters what we are doing.

“There are basically three cards on the table: either we remain in the NNPP and continue with those who joined us all the way or we form some sort of coalition with Atiku, others; or we form an alliance with the ruling party. I

“I am not saying any of these is the case now. But these are the three basic options that could happen.”

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I never met Uzodinma to negotiate APC detection – Otti

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Abia State government says that Governor Alex Otti did not hold any meeting with Imo State Governor, Hope Uzodinma for Otti to join the All Progressive Congress, APC, ahead of the 2027 polls.

A statement on Saturday signed by Ferdinand Ekeoma, Special Adviser to Governor Otti on Media and Publicity, described the defection rumour as false, baseless and unfounded and should be disregarded.

According to Abia State government, Governor Alex Otti and a few of his colleagues on Thursday, joined Governor Uzodinma to attend the birthday celebration of his twin daughters after the National Economic Council meeting, saying that the event had nothing to do with politics.

Ekeoma said that though Otti’s popularity and credentials as the Governor of Abia State may attract admiration and permutations from interested parties, “Governor Otti’s political decisions, especially those that would have huge impact and far-reaching consequences on Abians, would at all times be taken in conjunction with majority of Abians and his allies”.

He noted that decisions that would be taken by the Governor must be justified and be seen to be in the overriding interest of Abia people, even as he advised Abia people not to allow discussions about the gathering momentum of 2027 politics to distract good governance in the State.

“Finally, we wish to emphatically state that Governor Otti remains a member of the Labour Party and is presently not planning or discussing with anyone to defect to the APC or any other party for that matter as falsely alleged”, the statement concluded.

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BREAKING NEWS: All nine (9) PDP Members of the National Assembly from Rivers State have endorsed the reelection of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in 2027.

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BREAKING NEWS:

All nine (9) PDP Members of the National Assembly from Rivers State have endorsed the reelection of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in 2027.

They didn’t defect to APC. They are still members of the opposition PDP.

But in rare political machination, they have unanimously declared their supports for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu ‘s reelection in 2027 since Atiku Abubakar is insisting on contesting against the south in 2027.

 

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