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US elections 2024: What Kamala Harris win means for Kenya, Africa

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US vice president Kamala Harris smiling during a campaign rally (l) and William Ruto during an X space with Gen Zs (r). Photo: Jeff Kowalsky/William Ruto. Source: Getty Images
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  • US vice president Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump are poised to learn their fates in the presidential race as the elections begin
  • Harris’s victory or her ability to succeed Joe Biden as president of the United States could have an impact on Kenya and Africa
  • In an exclusive interview with TUKO.co.ke, lawyer and political analyst Philip Mwangale discussed what Harris’s victory would mean for Kenya

 

Faith Chandianya, a journalist at TUKO.co.ke, brings over three years of experience covering politics and Current Affairs in Kenya

US vice president Kamala Harris is competing against former president Donald Trump in the race for the presidency.

This comes as the 2024 US presidential election is shaping up to be one of the most competitive, with the strongest candidates leading the race.

However, this article will focus on the implications of Harris winning the election and how her victory could impact Kenya as a nation.

What does Kamala Harris win mean for Kenya?

Political analyst and lawyer Philip Mwangale told TUKO.co.ke that Harris’ victory would maintain the status quo.

Since Joe Biden is a member of the Democratic Party, Harris winning the election would ensure the Democrats remain the ruling party in the United States.

Mwangale asserted that this could mean that the bilateral agreements between Kenya and the US established by Harris’s predecessor and President William Ruto will remain intact.

“A Democrat win means maintenance of the status quo. The bilateral agreements signed between Kenya and the US remain,” Mwangale asserted.

The political analysts affirmed that maintaining bilateral agreements between Kenya and the US means the country will continue to be alienated from its neighbouring African countries due to Ruto’s ties with the West.

Mwangale also remarked that Harris lacks defined foreign policy perspectives, allowing certain state actors and US interests abroad, especially in Africa and the Middle East, to act without restriction.

“The interference in affairs of states, especially Africa and the Middle East, will be more prominent. She has not concrete foreign policy views of her own,” he affirmed.

The political analyst stated that this will have a ripple effect, as further incursions in the Middle East could restrict Kenya’s fuel channels.

Who is likely to win US presidential election 2024?

Renowned historian and election forecaster Allan Lichtman stirred attention with his latest prediction, forecasting a victory for Democratic nominee, Harris.

Lichtman, whose prediction record includes nine correct forecasts from the last ten elections, is confident that Trump will lose the 2024 United States presidential race.

Lichtman expressed certainty that Harris would prevail on election day.

He acknowledged that although Harris’s lead in battleground states has fluctuated, this has not changed his forecast.

Politics

House Approves 2025-2027 MTEF

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House Approves 2025-2027 MTEF
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The House of Representatives has passed the Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper for 2025 to 2027 as submitted by President Bola Tinubu.

This followed the consideration and approval of the recommendations of the Joint Committee on Finance and National Planning which laid its report at Wednesday’s plenary.

The House adopted the projected oil benchmark prices pegged at 75 dollars per barrel for 2025, as well as 76.2 dollars and 75.3 dollars per barrel for 2026 and 2027.

Domestic Crude Oil Production Projections for 2025 is put at 2.06 million barrels per day representing a significant increase from 1.78 million barrels per day in the current year.

GDP growth rate is projected at 4.6, 4.4 and 5.5 percent for 2025 to 2027, respectively, while the projected exchange rate is pegged at 1,400 Naira to the US Dollar for years 2025, 2026 and 2027

The MTEF projections aim towards a realistic and sustainable foundation for Nigeria’s budget planning over the next three years.

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President Bola Tinubu has departed Abuja for Paris on a state visit in honour of an invitation from President Emmanuel Macron.

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President Bola Tinubu has departed Abuja for Paris on a state visit in honour of an invitation from President Emmanuel Macron.
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The president is on the trip alongside first lady, Oluremi.

They were seen off by top government functionaries led by secretary to the government of the federation, George Akume, chief of staff, Femi Gbajabiamila.

The presidential zero-one-one air plane took off at about twenty minutes past eleven this Wednesday morning.

A statement by the presidential adviser on information and strategy, Bayo Onanuga reveals that, the Nigerian leader’s three-day visit, which will focus on strengthening political, economic, and cultural relations and establishing more opportunities for partnership, promises significant benefits for Nigeria.

President Tinubu and his wife, are expected to be received on Thursday at the French military museum, Les Invalides and Palais de l’Élysée, by the host president, Macron and his spouse, Brigitte, for initial ceremonies that will dovetail into bilateral meetings.

The two presidents are also to harmonise positions on stimulating more interest in exchange programmes that focus on skill development for youths and improving their competencies in automation, entrepreneurship, innovation, and leadership.

Both leaders will witness a session by the France-Nigeria Business Council, which oversees private sector participation in economic development.

Wife of the host president, Brigitte and Nigeria’s First Lady are also scheduled to discuss the Renewed Hope Initiative and the interest for empowering women, children, and the most vulnerable in Nigeria.

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PRESIDENT BOLA TINUBU APPOINTS JAMI’U ABIOLA AS SSA ON LINGUISTICS & FOREIGN MATTERS

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PRESIDENT BOLA TINUBU APPOINTS JAMI’U ABIOLA AS SSA ON LINGUISTICS & FOREIGN MATTERS
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PRESIDENT BOLA TINUBU APPOINTS JAMI’U ABIOLA AS SSA ON LINGUISTICS & FOREIGN MATTERS

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has approved the appointment of Jami’u Abiola as the Senior Special Assistant to the President on Linguistics and Foreign Matters.

A statement by Segun Imohiosen, Director, Information & Public Relations Office the
Secretary to the Government of
the Federation says the appointment takes effect from 14th of this month. It adds that the appointment is in line with the provisions of the Certain Political and Judicial Office Holders (Salaries and Allowances, etc) Act 2008, as amended.

It notes that until the appointment, Jami’u served as the Special Assistant to the President on Special Duties in the Office of the Vice President.

President Tinubu tasks the appointee to work closely with the Federal Ministry of Foreign Affairs and bring his wealth of experience to bear in his new assignment.

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